{"id":5746,"date":"2025-06-23T14:28:55","date_gmt":"2025-06-23T14:28:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/?p=5746"},"modified":"2025-06-23T14:28:56","modified_gmt":"2025-06-23T14:28:56","slug":"how-iran-was-duped-by-israel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/?p=5746","title":{"rendered":"How Iran was duped by Israel"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div><p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"5746\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 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-19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> &nbsp;65&nbsp;total views, &nbsp;2&nbsp;views today<\/p><div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-container-2 wp-block-gallery-1 wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"876\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"5751\"  src=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e4-876x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5751\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e4-876x1024.jpg 876w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e4-257x300.jpg 257w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e4-768x897.jpg 768w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e4.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 876px) 100vw, 876px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"493\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"5748\"  src=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e1-1-493x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5748\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e1-1-493x1024.jpg 493w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e1-1-145x300.jpg 145w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e1-1-768x1594.jpg 768w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e1-1-740x1536.jpg 740w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e1-1.jpg 771w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 493px) 100vw, 493px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"566\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"5750\"  src=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e3-1-566x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5750\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e3-1-566x1024.jpg 566w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e3-1-166x300.jpg 166w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e3-1-768x1388.jpg 768w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e3-1-850x1536.jpg 850w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e3-1.jpg 885w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 566px) 100vw, 566px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"490\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"5749\"  src=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e2-490x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5749\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e2-490x1024.jpg 490w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e2-144x300.jpg 144w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e2-735x1536.jpg 735w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/e2.jpg 766w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 490px) 100vw, 490px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scoopnews.in\/m\/newsdet.aspx?q=138453\n\">https:\/\/www.scoopnews.in\/m\/newsdet.aspx?q=138453<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyexcelsior.com\/how-iran-was-duped-by-israel\/\n\">https:\/\/www.dailyexcelsior.com\/how-iran-was-duped-by-israel\/<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.magzter.com\/de\/stories\/newspaper\/The-Political-and-Business-Daily\/HOW-IRAN-WAS-DUPED-BY-ISRAEL?srsltid=AfmBOoowb5dEsW6kGx5TL_FqhzpXI825kTA7CPGyDe7iap-jp5ExPVmV\n\">https:\/\/www.magzter.com\/de\/stories\/newspaper\/The-Political-and-Business-Daily\/HOW-IRAN-WAS-DUPED-BY-ISRAEL?srsltid=AfmBOoowb5dEsW6kGx5TL_FqhzpXI825kTA7CPGyDe7iap-jp5ExPVmV<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.punjabtodaynews.com\/how-iran-was-duped-by-israel\/\">https:\/\/www.punjabtodaynews.com\/how-iran-was-duped-by-israel\/<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Iran and Israel continued their military strikes against each other for a third straight day (June 16). Last night, Iran targetted the northern Israeli port city of Haifa. As Israel&#8217;s defence system intercepted Iran&#8217;s ballistic missiles, two hypersonic missiles reportedly hit Haifa, causing several injuries, according to Israel&#8217;s public broadcaster Kan. However, during these ongoing attacks and counter attacks, the moot question is where Iran faltered in securing the security and defence structure of its nuclear and military installations.<br>On June 13, the Islamic Republic of Iran experienced a strategic collapse that altered the balance of power in the Middle East. Israel eliminated key Iranian military and scientific personnel, degraded the country\u2019s missile infrastructure, and neutralised its early-warning systems. But more consequentially, Israel\u2019s strike &#8211; dubbed Operation Rising Lion &#8211; shattered the Iranian regime\u2019s confidence in its own security apparatus.<br>An analysis by Zaineb Riduoa for the Washington-based Hudson Institute analyses that reportedly, Israel prepared for the operation over years of sustained intelligence preparation, real-time intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), and deep infiltration. Israeli military planners achieved full-spectrum disruption by dismantling and infiltrating Iran\u2019s command and control networks, severing high-level communications, and injecting uncertainty into the regime\u2019s decision-making processes.<br>By the time Tehran could react, the damage was already done. Its upper command was wiped out, and its defensive systems were disabled. Crucially, Israel did not rely on cross-border operations. It had pre-positioned remote-activated strike platforms inside Iran and deployed them with surgical precision. This shows its preparations and depth of its infiltration of the Iranian security apparatus.<br>Israel combined a decapitation strike with cognitive disruption. The psychological warfare element &#8211; that the strike had come from Iranian soil &#8211; amplified the attack\u2019s kinetic effects, leaving Tehran paralysed. Unable to determine whether it had been infiltrated or outmanoeuvred, the regime\u2019s ability to respond took time to recover and initiate countermeasures.<br>Iranian Complacency: How Iran Misread the Signs<br>For Iran, the first two warnings came in July 2024 and September 2024. In July, Israel assassinated Ismail Haniyeh &#8211; Hamas\u2019s top political official and a guest of the Islamic Republic &#8211; in the heart of Tehran, demonstrating its ability to penetrate Iran\u2019s capital, bypass multiple layers of security, and execute a precision strike without visible attribution.<br>The second warning followed in September, when Israel conducted a sophisticated attack using explosive pagers against Hezbollah operatives in Lebanon, killing dozens and injuring thousands. This showcased its capacity to infiltrate and disrupt enemy networks. These operations sent a strategic message and served as rehearsals for something much larger.<br>However, Tehran failed to grasp the significance. The regime dismissed the assassinations as internal sabotage or factional violence, refusing to entertain the possibility that a hostile state actor had executed the operation within its own territory. That misjudgement exposed a structural flaw in the Iranian regime: Tehran\u2019s national security establishment could no longer detect or interpret threats emerging from its core.<br>Iran\u2019s Miscalculations<br>Iran\u2019s failure to anticipate Operation Rising Lion demonstrates a series of strategic miscalculations rooted in flawed assumptions about Israel, the United States, and the nature of contemporary conflict.<br>Firstly, Iran interpreted American criticism of Israel\u2019s Gaza operations as a sign of strategic divergence. Believing Netanyahu\u2019s government was isolated, Tehran likely calculated that Washington would block or dissuade a major Israeli escalation. It misjudged both the depth of US-Israel coordination and the capability of Israel\u2019s forces.<br>Secondly, in the aftermath of October 7, Iran assumed that Israel\u2019s intelligence services were overstretched and more focused on domestic issues. Tehran discounted the idea that Israel could conduct a complex, multidomain operation deep inside Iranian.<br>Thirdly, rather than recognising that these assassinations were part of a broader Israeli strategy of infiltration and pre-emption, Iran treated them as isolated cases. It failed to see operations such as the decapitation of Hezbollah\u2019s military elite as the opening moves of an evolving campaign.<br>Fourthly, Tehran viewed President Trump\u2019s 60-day ultimatum as a political signal, not a real deadline. Believing it had room to manoeuvre, Iran continued enrichment. Israel struck on day 61.<br>Fifthly, when the Trump administration resumed nuclear negotiations, Iran mistook engagement for concession. Iranian officials believed Washington\u2019s return to talks signalled weakness and assumed they could extract sanctions relief without making meaningful concessions on uranium enrichment.<br>Sixthly, the collapse of Bashar al-Assad\u2019s regime &#8211; triggered by Israeli strikes and internal defections &#8211; shattered Iran\u2019s assumptions about stability and escalation management.<br>Further, Iran also misread the Chinese support. Iranian officials interpreted Chinese backing as an effective shield from geopolitical consequences. As nuclear negotiations resumed in 2025, Chinese diplomats publicly reaffirmed the 25-year China-Iran pact and emphasised multipolarity, integration into BRICS, and cooperation with Russia. Tehran viewed this not only as validation of its international alignment but as evidence that it could defy US and Israeli pressure without consequences.<br>Iran was further emboldened by its belief that the China-brokered normalisation deal it signed with Saudi Arabia in early 2023 had silenced the most vocal regional opponent of Iran\u2019s nuclear ambitions.<br>Tehran assumed Riyadh\u2019s opposition to its nuclear program had been politically neutralised and that, with Saudi Arabia out of the equation, Washington would have less incentive to support Israeli pre-emptive strikes. This was a fundamental miscalculation. The Riyadh-Tehran normalisation produced optics, not a strategic shift.<br>Additionally, Israel launched Operation Rising Lion\u2019s based on its mastery of deception and psychological warfare. Deception in modern warfare involves crafting false narratives to mislead adversaries and inducing them to misjudge intentions, capabilities, or timing. Israel\u2019s campaign was a textbook example, paralysing Iran\u2019s decision-making through a carefully orchestrated web of misdirection.<br>In the weeks preceding the strike, Israel saturated global media, diplomatic channels, and public discourse with false cues designed to lull Tehran into complacency.<br>The Israeli security cabinet meeting that green-lit the operation was disguised as a routine discussion on Gaza hostage negotiations. Ministers were briefed only within a secure forum, signing stringent nondisclosure agreements known as shomer sod, or \u201cguardian of the secret.\u201d Even senior government officials believed no major action was imminent, writes Riboua.<br>Further, Netanyahu\u2019s office leaked a story that he was attending his son Avner Netanyahu\u2019s wedding in Galilee. The illusion that Israel\u2019s leader was preoccupied with personal matters reinforced Iran\u2019s complacency.<br>Mossad Director David Barnea and envoy Ron Dermer claimed to be on a trip to Washington via Oman for a \u201csixth round\u201d of nuclear talks. These negotiations were fictitious, but their announcement suggested diplomatic progress, diverting attention from military preparations.<br>Netanyahu\u2019s team allowed rumours of a rift with Trump over a potential Iran strike to circulate in the media, fostering perceptions of political disunity within Israel\u2019s leadership.<br>Israel designed this cognitive warfare campaign to neutralise Iran\u2019s command and control structure before kinetic operations began. For Israel, deception is a central force multiplier in operational planning. Against a highly centralised, ideologically rigid, and hierarchical regime like Iran, disrupting perception at the leadership level produces disproportionate strategic effects, says Riduoa.<br>Operation Rising Lion demonstrated how modern warfare is shaped by perception, disruption, and initiative. Israel dismantled core elements of Iran\u2019s command structure, eliminated key personnel tied to nuclear development, and exposed the gaps in Iran\u2019s internal defences. More critically, it disrupted the strategic logic that underpins Iran\u2019s regional posture. Tehran had assumed that escalation could be delayed, that its territorial depth provided insulation, and that Israel would remain constrained by political and diplomatic pressures. On June 13 those assumptions collapsed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"5746\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 -270 -1585 -649 -135 -104 -459 -423 -483 -476 -23 -49 -22 -139 2 -186 73 -142 361 -457 571 -626 285 -228 642 -407 990 -497 242 -63 336 -73 660 -74 310 0 370 5 595 52 535 111 1045 392 1455 803 122 121 250 273 275 326 19 41 19 137 0 174 -41 79 -309 363 -465 492 -447 370 -946 591 -1479 653 -113 14 -422 18 -536 8z m395 -428 c171 -34 330 -124 456 -258 112 -119 167 -219 211 -378 27 -96 24 -300 -5 -401 -72 -255 -236 -447 -474 -557 -132 -62 -201 -76 -368 -76 -167 0 -236 14 -368 76 -213 98 -373 271 -451 485 -162 444 86 934 547 1084 153 49 292 57 452 25z m909 -232 c222 -123 408 -262 593 -441 76 -74 138 -139 138 -144 0 -16 -233 -242 -330 -319 -155 -123 -309 -223 -461 -299 l-81 -41 32 46 c18 26 49 83 70 128 143 306 141 649 -6 957 -25 52 -61 116 -79 142 l-34 47 45 -20 c26 -10 76 -36 113 -56z m-2057 25 c-40 -58 -105 -190 -130 -263 -110 -324 -59 -707 132 -981 25 -35 42 -64 37 -64 -19 0 -241 119 -326 174 -188 122 -406 314 -532 468 l-58 71 108 103 c185 178 428 349 672 473 66 33 121 60 123 61 2 0 -10 -19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> &nbsp;65&nbsp;total views, &nbsp;2&nbsp;views today<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;65&nbsp;total views, &nbsp;2&nbsp;views today https:\/\/www.scoopnews.in\/m\/newsdet.aspx?q=138453 https:\/\/www.dailyexcelsior.com\/how-iran-was-duped-by-israel\/ https:\/\/www.magzter.com\/de\/stories\/newspaper\/The-Political-and-Business-Daily\/HOW-IRAN-WAS-DUPED-BY-ISRAEL?srsltid=AfmBOoowb5dEsW6kGx5TL_FqhzpXI825kTA7CPGyDe7iap-jp5ExPVmV https:\/\/www.punjabtodaynews.com\/how-iran-was-duped-by-israel\/ Iran and Israel continued their military strikes against each other for a third straight day (June 16). Last night, Iran targetted the northern Israeli port city of Haifa. As Israel&#8217;s defence system intercepted Iran&#8217;s ballistic missiles, two hypersonic missiles reportedly hit Haifa, causing several injuries, according to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[182,83],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5746"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5746"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5746\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5754,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5746\/revisions\/5754"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}