{"id":5207,"date":"2024-07-12T15:48:39","date_gmt":"2024-07-12T15:48:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/?p=5207"},"modified":"2024-07-12T15:48:41","modified_gmt":"2024-07-12T15:48:41","slug":"the-future-of-indo-iran-ties","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/?p=5207","title":{"rendered":"The Future of Indo-Iran Ties"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div><p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"5207\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 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-19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> &nbsp;139&nbsp;total views<\/p><div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<figure class=\"wp-container-2 wp-block-gallery-1 wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"683\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"5210\"  src=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e1-683x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5210\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e1-683x1024.jpg 683w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e1-200x300.jpg 200w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e1-768x1152.jpg 768w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e1-1024x1536.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e1.jpg 1066w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 683px) 100vw, 683px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1003\" height=\"1024\" data-id=\"5209\"  src=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e2-1003x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e2-1003x1024.jpg 1003w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e2-294x300.jpg 294w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e2-768x784.jpg 768w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e2.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1003px) 100vw, 1003px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"860\" data-id=\"5208\"  src=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e3-1024x860.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e3-1024x860.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e3-300x252.jpg 300w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e3-768x645.jpg 768w, https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/e3.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pressreader.com\/india\/brighter-kashmir\/20240709\/281964612934832\n\">https:\/\/www.pressreader.com\/india\/brighter-kashmir\/20240709\/281964612934832<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarionindia.net\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/#:~:text=Asad%20Mirza&amp;text=However%2C%20no%20reset%20should%20be,recent%20past%2C%20under%20Modi%203.0.\n\">https:\/\/clarionindia.net\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/#:~:text=Asad%20Mirza&amp;text=However%2C%20no%20reset%20should%20be,recent%20past%2C%20under%20Modi%203.0.<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.navhindtimes.in\/2024\/07\/12\/opinions\/opinion\/future-of-indo-iran-relations\/\n\">https:\/\/www.navhindtimes.in\/2024\/07\/12\/opinions\/opinion\/future-of-indo-iran-relations\/<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/indo-iran-ties-strengthened-further\/\n\">https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/indo-iran-ties-strengthened-further\/<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/scoopnews.in\/det.aspx?q=128455\n\">https:\/\/scoopnews.in\/det.aspx?q=128455<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/kashmirlife.net\/author\/kashmir-life\/\n\">https:\/\/kashmirlife.net\/author\/kashmir-life\/<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/in-message-to-nasrallah-iran-president-elect-vows-support-for-resistance\/\n\">https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/in-message-to-nasrallah-iran-president-elect-vows-support-for-resistance\/<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailyexcelsior.com\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/#google_vignette\n\">https:\/\/www.dailyexcelsior.com\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/#google_vignette<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/clarionindia.net\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/?noamp=mobile\n\">https:\/\/clarionindia.net\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/?noamp=mobile<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/\">https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>With a new President, Masoud Pezeshkian, in office in Iran, questions are being asked about the future course of Indo-Iran bilateral. However, no reset should be expected as both countries understand the need to stand together and bilateral ties have indeed consolidated during the recent past, under Modi 3.0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian has won Iran\u2019s runoff presidential election, beating hardliner Saeed Jalili by promising to reach out to the West and ease enforcement on the country\u2019s mandatory headscarf law after years of sanctions and protests squeezing the Islamic Republic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pezeshkian promised no radical changes to Iran\u2019s Shia theocracy in his campaign and long has held the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as the final arbiter of all matters of state. But an Iranian government still largely held by hardliners will challenge even Pezeshkian\u2019s modest aims.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The late president, Ebrahim Raisi, who died in a helicopter crash in May 2024, was seen as a prot\u00e9g\u00e9 of Khamenei and a potential successor as supreme leader. While Khamenei remains the final decision-maker on matters of state, whichever man ends up winning the presidency could bend the country\u2019s foreign policy towards either confrontation or collaboration with the West, on which the whole edifice of Iranian diplomacy rests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Though, in most countries presidents are usually the final authority in their capacity as heads of state or government \u2013 or both \u2013 that\u2019s not the case in Iran. It is the Supreme Leader, who is the final authority in Iran and sets the domestic and foreign policies of the country and makes all key decisions. Thus, one may wonder if the presidential elections are a mere ruse and the president\u2019s office a mere token. However, the reality is quite complicated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In reality, the president is not a mere decorated mechanical bureaucrat. A president and his minister\u2019s still have the crucial executive role and the manner in which they implement the policies and enforce the decisions plays a major role in the outcomes these policies and decisions produce.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As a result, while rules like the mandatory wearing of hijab for females in public will not be revoked, the implementation under Pezeshkian is expected to be much more humane and incidents like the custodial killing of Mahsa Amini, which triggered months long protests across Iran, are expected to be checked. And it is this background that we\u2019ll have to see future of the Indo-Iran ties under President Pezeshkian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Quite interestingly, Four polling stations were set up in India \u2013 Delhi, Mumbai, Pune, Hyderabad \u2013 to facilitate the over 3000 Iranian population to come out and vote in the elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At a practical level bilateral ties between the two countries have remained cordial and even trade has seen an upswing. India-Iran bilateral trade during the FY 2022-23 was $2.33 billion, registering a growth of 21.76% YOY. During the period, India\u2019s export to Iran was $1.66 billion (a growth of 14.34%) and India\u2019s import from Iran was $ 672.12 million (a growth of 45.05%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Indian Support to Iran<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The strong ties are further demonstrated by the manner in which the Indian government used its good offices recently to get Iran a membership berth at BRICS and the manner in which it is going full steam ahead with developing the Chabahar Port in Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is enormous appreciation among Iranian intellectuals, diplomats and politicians regarding PM Modi\u2019s stellar support for their country\u2019s membership of the BRICS grouping. Modi played a key role to navigate Iran\u2019s membership purposively at the BRICS Summit in Johannesburg last August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allegedly, the defining moment was a phone call from the Iranian President late Ibrahim Raisi to Modi in the week before the summit meeting. However, the ground for the last-minute flurry of diplomatic activity was prepared in the preceding weeks by the National Security Advisor Ajit Doval when he attended the meeting of BRICS national security advisors in Johannesburg in late July 2023, just weeks prior to the summit to review security and economic cooperation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Further, Tehran visualises that in the downstream of Chabahar Port, Indian trade and industry can and should enter the hinterland in a big way via trade, investments and project exports. The Iranian side feels that Chabahar has the potential to elevate India\u2019s partnership with Iran to an altogether higher strategic level.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>Chabahar Project<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On May 13, 2024, India signed a 10-year agreement with Iran to develop and operate the Shahid Beheshti terminal of Iran\u2019s strategic Chabahar port. The new agreement follows a previously promised Indian investment in 2016 of a potential $500 million. It comes after multiple failures to fully implement a previous deal concluded in May 2016 to develop two terminals and five berths at Chabahar port to transport goods and gas from Central Asia to India and handle other international cargo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>PM Modi travelled to Iran in 2016 to conclude the original Chabahar Agreement, also signing an international transport and transit corridor deal Tehran drafted to expand port infrastructure. But US-led sanctions on Tehran forced New Delhi to call for a temporary halt. India eventually managed to negotiate an agreement with the United States to allow Indian investments in the port.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2018, Washington agreed to issue sanctions exemptions to enable India to use Chabahar to trade with land-locked Afghanistan for humanitarian purposes. But progress in developing Chabahar continued to be delayed by sanctions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By March 2023, Tehran called on India to use Chabahar port for mutually beneficial trade, including Indian imports of Iranian oil, which New Delhi suspended after the United States declined to extend sanctions waivers.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The latest agreement in May, signed by Indian Ports Global Ltd. and Iran\u2019s Port and Maritime Organisation, is narrowly focused on expanding the Shahid Beheshti terminal, with a $120 million investment from Indian Ports Global and a credit window of $250 million, thereby enabling New Delhi to avoid financially overcommitting to the project. Though, following the signing of the agreement, the United States suggested India could face sanctions for business deals with Iran and India has not yet responded to these threats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As far as the future of Indo-Iran ties is expected, a positive indication of that was recently given by the Iranian Ambassador to India, Iraj Elahi, in a newspaper interview, said that, there would be no change in the foreign policy between Iran and India, irrespective of who comes to power. There is unlikely to be any change in the foreign policy, which is led by the Supreme Leader and different bodies of high-ranking politicians, adding that a large segment of Iranians feel that even if they were to reconnect with the West, sanctions would be imposed again on some pretext or the other.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"pvc_stats all \" data-element-id=\"5207\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" version=\"1.0\" viewBox=\"0 0 502 315\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\"><g transform=\"translate(0,332) scale(0.1,-0.1)\" fill=\"\" stroke=\"none\"><path d=\"M2394 3279 l-29 -30 -3 -207 c-2 -182 0 -211 15 -242 39 -76 157 -76 196 0 15 31 17 60 15 243 l-3 209 -33 29 c-26 23 -41 29 -80 29 -41 0 -53 -5 -78 -31z\"\/><path d=\"M3085 3251 c-45 -19 -58 -50 -96 -229 -47 -217 -49 -260 -13 -295 52 -53 146 -42 177 20 16 31 87 366 87 410 0 70 -86 122 -155 94z\"\/><path d=\"M1751 3234 c-13 -9 -29 -31 -37 -50 -12 -29 -10 -49 21 -204 19 -94 39 -189 45 -210 14 -50 54 -80 110 -80 34 0 48 6 76 34 21 21 34 44 34 59 0 14 -18 113 -40 219 -37 178 -43 195 -70 221 -36 32 -101 37 -139 11z\"\/><path d=\"M1163 3073 c-36 -7 -73 -59 -73 -102 0 -56 133 -378 171 -413 34 -32 83 -37 129 -13 70 36 67 87 -16 290 -86 209 -89 214 -129 231 -35 14 -42 15 -82 7z\"\/><path d=\"M3689 3066 c-15 -9 -33 -30 -42 -48 -48 -103 -147 -355 -147 -375 0 -98 131 -148 192 -74 13 15 57 108 97 206 80 196 84 226 37 273 -30 30 -99 39 -137 18z\"\/><path d=\"M583 2784 c-38 -19 -67 -74 -58 -113 9 -42 211 -354 242 -373 16 -10 45 -18 66 -18 51 0 107 52 107 100 0 39 -1 41 -124 234 -80 126 -108 162 -133 173 -41 17 -61 16 -100 -3z\"\/><path d=\"M4250 2784 c-14 -9 -74 -91 -133 -183 -95 -150 -107 -173 -107 -213 0 -55 33 -94 87 -104 67 -13 90 8 211 198 130 202 137 225 78 284 -27 27 -42 34 -72 34 -22 0 -50 -8 -64 -16z\"\/><path d=\"M2275 2693 c-553 -48 -1095 -270 -1585 -649 -135 -104 -459 -423 -483 -476 -23 -49 -22 -139 2 -186 73 -142 361 -457 571 -626 285 -228 642 -407 990 -497 242 -63 336 -73 660 -74 310 0 370 5 595 52 535 111 1045 392 1455 803 122 121 250 273 275 326 19 41 19 137 0 174 -41 79 -309 363 -465 492 -447 370 -946 591 -1479 653 -113 14 -422 18 -536 8z m395 -428 c171 -34 330 -124 456 -258 112 -119 167 -219 211 -378 27 -96 24 -300 -5 -401 -72 -255 -236 -447 -474 -557 -132 -62 -201 -76 -368 -76 -167 0 -236 14 -368 76 -213 98 -373 271 -451 485 -162 444 86 934 547 1084 153 49 292 57 452 25z m909 -232 c222 -123 408 -262 593 -441 76 -74 138 -139 138 -144 0 -16 -233 -242 -330 -319 -155 -123 -309 -223 -461 -299 l-81 -41 32 46 c18 26 49 83 70 128 143 306 141 649 -6 957 -25 52 -61 116 -79 142 l-34 47 45 -20 c26 -10 76 -36 113 -56z m-2057 25 c-40 -58 -105 -190 -130 -263 -110 -324 -59 -707 132 -981 25 -35 42 -64 37 -64 -19 0 -241 119 -326 174 -188 122 -406 314 -532 468 l-58 71 108 103 c185 178 428 349 672 473 66 33 121 60 123 61 2 0 -10 -19 -26 -42z\"\/><path d=\"M2375 1950 c-198 -44 -350 -190 -395 -379 -18 -76 -8 -221 19 -290 114 -284 457 -406 731 -260 98 52 188 154 231 260 27 69 37 214 19 290 -38 163 -166 304 -326 360 -67 23 -215 33 -279 19z\"\/><\/g><\/svg><\/i> &nbsp;139&nbsp;total views<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;139&nbsp;total views https:\/\/www.pressreader.com\/india\/brighter-kashmir\/20240709\/281964612934832 https:\/\/clarionindia.net\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/#:~:text=Asad%20Mirza&amp;text=However%2C%20no%20reset%20should%20be,recent%20past%2C%20under%20Modi%203.0. https:\/\/www.navhindtimes.in\/2024\/07\/12\/opinions\/opinion\/future-of-indo-iran-relations\/ https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/indo-iran-ties-strengthened-further\/ https:\/\/scoopnews.in\/det.aspx?q=128455 https:\/\/kashmirlife.net\/author\/kashmir-life\/ https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/in-message-to-nasrallah-iran-president-elect-vows-support-for-resistance\/ https:\/\/www.dailyexcelsior.com\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/#google_vignette https:\/\/clarionindia.net\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/?noamp=mobile https:\/\/muslimmirror.com\/eng\/the-future-of-indo-iran-ties\/ With a new President, Masoud Pezeshkian, in office in Iran, questions are being asked about the future course of Indo-Iran bilateral. However, no reset should be expected as both countries understand the need to stand together and bilateral ties have indeed consolidated during [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[83],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5207"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5207"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5207\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5211,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5207\/revisions\/5211"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5207"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5207"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asadmirza.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5207"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}